Ah, the 23rd. And that number reminds me of a few odd, prophetic minutes from long-ago early January.
GOP Divisions
For a short, bizarre time on the night of the Iowa caucus, you may recall that it was an even split – 23% each – for moderate Romney, Catholic cultural-conservative Santorum, and libertarian Ron Paul, which says a great deal about the composition of the Republican Party and the right in general. Someone who was truly able to appeal to all three of those constituencies at the same time would have had the vote sewn up with Reaganesque coalition-building finesse. Instead, each seems to alienate the other factions.
And so, perhaps, we will continue to economically stagnate under an immense, corrupt government. And the electorate will continue to choose, reluctantly, between embracing welfare or warfare, probably based largely on their own least-rational psychological proclivities (unthinking compassion and unthinking belligerence). We almost have a route out of the madness, in the form of Ron Paul – but then, he has no one but himself to blame for striking some people as even weirder than the status quo. If he’d avoided the more insulting anti-imperialist rhetoric and had not tolerated even a bit of race rhetoric decades ago, well...things might look very different right now (not that I’m giving up, given the current campaign chaos).
But let’s assume for a moment that it’ll still end up being Romney and try looking for a silver lining.
Sympathy for Satan (by which I mean Romney)
On the contrary, I think every time he does something slightly goofy, it’s a reminder he’s not as robotic as people say. Would a truly calculating man – with an odd religion – have told the world that L. Ron Hubbard’s Battlefield Earth is one of his favorite novels? (Unless, as one friend of mine said, he wanted to remind us that there are religions weirder than Mormonism.)
I would think even more highly of him
if he picked Ron Paul as his v.p. (as Santorum fears) – though
that might increase the risk of him getting shot, much as I hate to speak ill of my nutty and lovable fellow Ron Paul fans. It might be a wiser move for him to pick the younger and somewhat less controversial Rand Paul. I can promise that would
please the libertarians immensely.
Even if my vote in the NY primary two months from now proves to be a futile protest vote, not to be confused with the futile protest vote for Romney that I cast (against McCain) in the NY primary of ’08, and then I cast what may well be a futile protest vote for Gary Johnson in November (still living in NY, after all), I do think that Romney, for all his mushy-liberal tendencies, is a useful nudge in a more econ-focused direction for the party and away from the Southern-religious-social-conservative stuff, which we now know can happen in Pennsylvania, too.
A restoration of something resembling the northeastern Rockefeller Republican establishment that existed just before I was born could do wonders to raise the level of right-wing discourse, if I do say so my stuck-up New England Ivy League-educated self. But you know what I mean. Romney may be stiff, but he’s not dumb.
Romney Still Lame
Of course, he is sort of hollow – but then, so is Obama.
In fact, Obama is the sort of hollow corporatist the Occupiers decry, and Romney is the sort of hollow statist the Tea Partiers decry, but each side will probably still fall into line and devote most of its energy to attacking the other side’s leader. And Obama will attempt to (quietly) rally the Occupiers to his side, without alienating moderates. And Romney will attempt to (quietly) rally the Tea Partiers to his side, without alienating moderates.
Both are the kinds of hollow men to whose banners no idealists should rally. Intellectuals of both sides might want to start talking – more diplomatically – about how they let this happen. I recall being part of some fairly highbrow, civil, wonkish conversations back around 2007 about how libertarians and progressives might work together to address the inefficiency of the welfare state – and then all that died in the subsequent polarizing passions regarding Obama, and now crazy rabble in the streets have a (much more hostile) version of that important conversation. I guess we should have started it sooner.
As a practical matter, the most productive thing that